tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16816866.post8684291363232298703..comments2024-02-29T02:10:56.878-08:00Comments on J O S H U A P U N D I T: Iranian Ships Update: Confusion Over Suez Canal TransitFreedom Fighterhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13649470110087808596noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16816866.post-39292122431044223782011-02-17T17:01:59.145-08:002011-02-17T17:01:59.145-08:00Errors in my previous post: Four possibilties ins...Errors in my previous post: Four possibilties instead of two. Instead of $$ that should have been $4 billion. In other words, the Egyptians might tell the Americans that if they will up the annual payment to them from $2 billion to $4 billion they will consider an American request not to allow the Iranian war ships through the Suez Canal. <br /><br />Essentially the annual payments to Egypt are blackmail. The Egyptians will simply tell the Americans to shove it when it the arrangement no longer suits them. Even without the "revolution" Egypt would have eventually cut America off. The revolution may have sped things up a bit. <br /><br />Additional possibility: the Egyptians try to block the passage of the Iranian ships and the Iranains run the blockade. This could lead to a shooting war. The thinking might be to try and get the Americans involved. I think it goes without saying that we know whose side the media will take in this, the Iranian side of course. <br /><br />A shooting war with America is what Iran wants any way. All this time the punditocracy has been working tirelessly to undercut an American military option against Iran and have largely succeeded. A military action by America against Iran was never a serious consideration by anyone any way. What the pundits really needed to be worrying about was an Iranian attack on America and how we might prevent and if it happens how might we respond. By undercutting America's military options these pundits have eliminated a valuable avenue that America may have had for its national defense or otherwise advancing its interests. <br /><br />Perhaps it was deliberate. Perhaps not. In any event, the end result is clear. America no longer has a viable military option against Iran or really any one else for that matter right now. The Iranians know this, as does everyone else. This means Iran is free to act with impunity against America and its interests any where in the world and at any time. <br /><br />Nice job people!! They're either evil or grossly incompetent. In any event, its absolutely breath taking.B.Posternoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16816866.post-39938340480604063752011-02-17T14:30:18.240-08:002011-02-17T14:30:18.240-08:00http://www.jpost.com/DiplomacyAndPolitics/Article....http://www.jpost.com/DiplomacyAndPolitics/Article.aspx?id=208683<br /><br />Egypt now confirms it has received a request thursday from irangerard2004https://www.blogger.com/profile/08851800844554790766noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16816866.post-53541756776113145042011-02-17T12:00:55.711-08:002011-02-17T12:00:55.711-08:00"Keep in mind that a single phone call from W..."Keep in mind that a single phone call from Washington telling the Egyptians not to let the Iranian warships through because of 'safety concerns' or risk that $2 billion stipend would have stopped the Iranians forthwith." <br /><br />No it wouldn't have. What likely would have happened is one of two things. 1.)The Egyptians would have told the Americans to take their worthless money and SHOVE IT!! 2.)The Egyptians would have told the Americans if they up the amount of the annual payment to $$ billion that they will consider the request. 3.)The Egyptians would have told the Americans to SHOVE IT and would have gone to the media and complained about America is trying to "pressure" them or something to this effect. The media eats taht sort of thing and the Egyptian leaders are hailed as heroes for resising said "pressure." 4.)The Egyptians deny the Iranian request because they were going to do it regardless of what America said or did and then blame American pressure on the decision. This allows them to save face in the eyes of the Arab world and the world news media. <br /><br />No, a mere phone call telling the Egyptians not to allow the Iranian ships through or risk a loss of American foreign aid is not going to stop the ships from coming through. In fact, the opposite would probably occurr. Such a call would be deemed as insulting to the Egyptians and would only strengthen their resolve to allow the ships through. <br /><br />Our best course of action is the same as it should have been for the "revolution." STAY OUT OF IT!!B.Posternoreply@blogger.com