Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Obama Won On Points? That's Not What The Polls Say

I find the polls on last nights debate interesting.

CBS says its polls gave the win to Obama, among registered voters 37-30. And CNN's registered voters gave it to Obama 46-39. Not likely voters, but registered voters, only 2/3 of whom bothered to vote last time out.

And then you get into these polls' internals.In CNN's case, they won't even reveal the numbers, but say:

According to the survey, Obama had a 47%-41% edge on which candidate was more likeable. But on some key issues, Romney came out on top, including an 18-point lead on the economy, 54-40.

"Mitt Romney was seen as better able to handle the economy, taxes, and the budget deficit among the debate audience, but it seems that issues were trumped, or at least blunted, by intangibles, including the expectations game," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

Romney also won out in CNN's poll on who appeared to be the stronger leader(49%-46%) and over 60% saying President Obama didn't offer a clear plan for solving the country's problems.

The CBS poll, which also showed Obama 'winning' was even more revealing. It showed Romney ahead 65-34 on the economy, 51-44 on taxes,and 59-36 on the deficit.

Translation? When it comes to what I'll call the Jerry Springer factor, people were willing to give President Obama some ground, especially since expectations were what they were. But on the actual issues that are going to determine the election, the pocketbook issues, Romney won big.

The latest Gallup? Mitt Romney 51%, Barack Obama 45%.


Anonymous said...

Choose your poison. Romney missed his chance to expose the Obama Command's obvious decision re Benghazi to try and hide the fact under O the US is getting its strategic butt kicked in the Mideast, while AQ is growing.
And its actual butt kicked in Afghanistan.
This missed chance might have something to do with Romney having approved, unlike Ron Paul and Kucinich for example, Obama's Libya
intervention and of Mitt also being rather hawkish on another quagmire, Afghanistan, not to mention his wish we still be getting our butt kicked in vain in Iraq.

Anonymous said...

Guess which poll was shown in the news in Israel.
Here's a hint: It's not one of the polls which show Romney on top.

Channel 2 actually said it was 54-39 according to CNN.

Rob said...

I assume you're talking about a poll on who won the last debate.

Gosh, that's funny, since even CNN's own headline called it a split decision. And the numbers differ from the ones CNN published.

I have only your word you actually watched Channel 2, which would mean you're in Israel, and speak Hebrew. That doesn't really match up with your URL, so I'll assume you got this second hand from wherever, which brings up some questions as to your motivation in referring to a news report in a country where only a small percentage of the inhabitants vote in an American election.

In any case, every legitimate poll shows that most Israelis distrust Obama, for good reason, including an almost 2/3 majority of those people residing in Israel who can actually vote for president in our election.

Rob said...

Oh, BTW, a Lexus nexus search doesn't reveal any specific endorsement by Romney of Obama's Libyan intervention.

As for asskicking..well, it's hard to judge when the U.S. has never been permitted to fight the war in AfPak properly.

However, your joy in what you perceive to be an American defeat is duly noted. I noted the same sort of sentiments among people of your persuasion during thr Carter years when the commies seemed triumphant.

Enjoy it while it lasts.

Sometimes, though, things have a way of changing with different leadership.