According to my sources, the Obama Administration has pretty much decided to try and push this through nuclear style, via reconciliation. Look for Obama himself to announce it at a presser midweek.
One sign is that Nancy Pelosi is already admonishing her fellow Donkeys to take a bullet for Obama saying they should be willing to sacrifice their seats 'for the people.'
Of course, that kind of courage comes easy when you represent über-Leftist Marin County in San Francisco and your own personal seat is safe.
According to Kent Conrad (d-SD), the Senate budget committee chairman, the House would have to pass the current flawed Senate bill first in order for reconciliation to be used. That would take 217 votes. And before that, the House would want a guarantee that the Senate would be able to pass the Obama bill put forth by the president, after which they would have to have the votes in the House to pass the new bill.
Fairness or even political common sense isn't even on the table. Rest assured that Pelosi, Reid and Obama will use every single tool of bribery and coercion to get this through, even if it means promising wavering Dems campaign cash or cushy jobs in the administration or with the administration's private sector allies if they lose their seats in November because of Obamacare votes.
What Obama and his minions are counting on is shoving this through now even though the American people oppose it with the idea of getting it embedded enough that it will be extremely difficult to repeal later. And in any event, the damage to America's health care system and our economy will already have been done.
Normally, this sort of thing is precluded by political common sense if nothing else. But we are dealing with ideologues here, not rational actors.
If you look carefully at the steps the Obama Administration has taken -the quadrupling of the national debt, the outsized spending, the governmental attack on private enterprise among others - they make no sense. Unless of course, you were deliberately trying to create a crisis situation where the economy fails and a desperate population is dependent for their necessities on the largess of the Obama White House.
In the latter case, it's simply Alinsky 101.